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There was something somewhat related i saw recently that male prisoners who identify as transgender are registered sex offenders at a rate of 21%, whereas other men at 15% https://t.co/CpPcmqMr5Z

I doubt we will get accurate statistics any time soon about this because of the stigma against naming transgender predators. From my own experience, it was really not too long after a TIM i knew announced he was trans and his eventual disgrace and removal from the bdsm business he created because of predator behavior. So, at least in that case the stigma or the abuse was more important than his identity.

That paper you cited was published in 2009, and relies on research done in 2008 or before. So it in no way represents the situation today, 13 years later when there's been such a huge boom in people coming out as trans since 2014 or so.The paper also says that in the CA prison population in 2008

The majority of transgender inmates are sexually attracted to men(81.9%), but a considerable minority indicated being attracted to both men and women (15.6%). Only 1.3% of transgender inmates reported being sexually attracted exclusively to women.

This is the complete opposite of the sexual orientation of TIMS in general both in 2008 and today. The vast majority of TIMs - 75% at least - are AGPs sexually attracted to women; only a minority are attracted to males.

The stats from the paper you cite about the percentages of homosexual TIMs in prison in CA in 2008 being registered sex offenders would indicate that homosexual TIMs have a higher rate of sex offending than the general population of incarcerated males. But when AGPs are added in, I would think the percentages who are convicted sex offenders would be far higher.

Looking at the TIMs in the UK in recent years (2017-20), the rates of sex offending is much higher. The stats released by the Ministry of Justice show that, depending on the year, 48-59% of TIMs in prison in England and Wales have been convicted of sex crimes. Compared to 17-19% of the overall male prison population there.

Ministry of Justice show that, depending on the year, 48-59% of TIMs in prison in England and Wales have been convicted of sex crimes.

That's interesting, they're between three times and double as likely. The proportion of crime in general has more sex crimes in it. With all the drug charges and how our judges don't take sex crimes seriously in USA, i suspect it'd more indicative of our respective legal systems then men's behavior.