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DiscussionHow much closer to mass peak trans are we now vs. the same time last year?
Last year I asked the question Are we nearing mass peak trans?Is the tide turning? and provided a list of bullet points that made me think it might be.
Tbh this year I've been a lot more tapped out on this issue, so I don't have as much of a perspective on it! But here's a couple of things:
Of course, the big glaring change has been that it played a significant part in Trump's win over Harris in the US. IIRC some polling showed it could have influenced up to ~2-3% of voters to not vote for Harris, which wasn't quite enough to be single-handedly responsible for the difference, but was significant. Trump's admin, for all its other ills, does seem to be making some of the moves we agree with from a pragmatic point of view, even if we fervently disagree with some of their rationales for it.
However, what is unclear to me is if this has caused the neoliberal side in the US to dig in even harder on this issue or not. It seems like some have drawn back from it, which is what can be predicted when the tide turns, but some have doubled down. I'm not sure what split that's in
In the UK, Stamer's neoliberal Labour party seems to have incorporated a more GC bent to some extent, but not fully.
In general, it seems easier and less fraught to speak publicly on these issues. It feels like one is less likely to be cancelled, lose friends, lose one's job, etc.
There have also been some defeats, however, so it's perhaps one step forward, two back.
However, again, I could be wrong-- I've been almost totally tapped out of even keeping an eye on this subject. What are your observations? Do you think we're closer to mass peak trans? Has it already happened?